Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn Nhận định thị trường. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng
Hiển thị các bài đăng có nhãn Nhận định thị trường. Hiển thị tất cả bài đăng

Thứ Năm, 27 tháng 10, 2011

Chien luoc giao dich Gold-Forex Phiên Âu-Phiên Mỹ

Chiến lược giao dịch Gold-Forex Phiên Âu (Update hàng ngày)



Chiến lược giao dịch Gold-Forex Phiên Mỹ (Update hàng ngày)

Thứ Tư, 26 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược Phiên Âu 28/10/2011

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3875.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.3875 with targets @ 1.402 & 1.4055.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.3875 will call for 1.381 & 1.375.

Comment: the RSI has broken above a declining trend line, the pair remains on the upside and is challenging its resistance.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
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GBP/USD intraday: caution.
Pivot: 1.6050.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions below 1.605 with targets @ 1.5955 & 1.59.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 1.605 will call for a rebound towards 1.609 & 1.612.

Comment: the pair is rebounding and is approaching its resistance, caution.
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USD/JPY intraday: caution.
Pivot: 75.90.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 75.9 with 76.3 & 76.5 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 75.9 will open the way to 75.7 & 75.4.

Comment: the pair is challenging its support, caution.
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AUD/USD intraday: bullish bias above 1.0425.
Pivot: 1.0425

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.0425 with targets @ 1.0575 & 1.0625 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.0425 look for further downside with 1.036 & 1.0325 as targets.

Comment: the RSI broke above a bearish trend line.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: bullish bias above 1700
Pivot: 1700.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1700 with targets @ 1730 & 1750.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1700 will call for 1680 & 1665.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.
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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: rebound.
Pivot: 90.20

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 90.2 with 93.75 & 94.65 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 90.2 will open the way to 89.4 & 88.2.

Comment: the RSI broke above a declining trend line.

Thứ Ba, 25 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược Phiên Âu 27/10/2011

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3850.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.386 with targets @ 1.3955 & 1.3985.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.385 will call for 1.381 & 1.375.

Comment: the pair stands above its support and remains on the upside.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.5950.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.596 with targets @ 1.605 & 1.609.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.595 will call for a slide towards 1.59 & 1.585.

Comment: the RSI has broken above a declining trend line, the pair remains on the upside.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 76.30.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 76.25 with 75.7 & 75.4 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 76.3 will call for a rebound towards 76.5 & 76.6.

Comment: the pair stands below its new resistance and remains under pressure.
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AUD/USD intraday: consolidation.
Pivot: 1.044

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 1.044 with targets @ 1.0305 & 1.026 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 1.044 look for further upside with 1.05 & 1.0575 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is capped by a declining trend line.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1690.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1690 with 1725 & 1730 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1690 will call for 1672.5 & 1659.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.
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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: 95.7 expected
Pivot: 92.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 92 with 94.65 & 95.7 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 92 will call for a slide towards 90.65 & 89.45.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a bullish trend line.

Thứ Hai, 24 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược giao dịch GOLD-Forex Phiên Âu

EUR/USD intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
Pivot: 1.3830.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.384 with targets @ 1.3955 & 1.3985.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.383 will call for 1.375 & 1.37.

Comment: the pair is supported by a rising trend line and is approaching its resistance.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
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GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.5940.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.595 with 1.605 & 1.609 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.594 will call for a slide towards 1.59 & 1.585.

Comment: the pair is challenging its bullish channel lower boundary.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 76.30.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 76.25 with 76 & 75.8 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 76.3 will call for 76.5 & 76.6.

Comment: the pair stands below its new resistance and remains under pressure.
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AUD/USD intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 1.037

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.037 with targets @ 1.05 & 1.0575 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.037 look for further downside with 1.0305 & 1.026 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: bullish bias above 1644
Pivot: 1644.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1644 with 1660 & 1665 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1644 will call for a slide towards 1633 & 1625.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a bullish trend line.
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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: aim @ 95.3
Pivot: 90.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 90 with 93.6 & 95.3 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 90 will call for a slide towards 89 & 88.1.

Comment: the break above 90 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 93.6.

Thứ Năm, 20 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược Phiên Mỹ

EUR/USD intraday: rebound.
Pivot: 1.37

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.37 with targets @ 1.3855 & 1.3915 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.37 look for further downside with 1.3655 & 1.358 as targets.

Comment: the pair has rebounded on its support and has validated a falling wedge.
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GBP/USD intraday: further advance.
Pivot: 1.57

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.57 with targets @ 1.582 & 1.585 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.57 look for further downside with 1.563 & 1.5585 as targets.

Comment: the pair has broken above its channel upper boundary and should post further advance.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 77

Most Likely Scenario: Short positions below 77 with targets @ 76.6 & 76.4 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Above 77 look for further upside with 77.2 & 77.5 as targets.

Comment: the pair has struck against its resistance and remains under pressure, the RSI is capped by a ST declining trend line.
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AUD/USD intraday: continuation of the rebound.
Pivot: 1.02

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.02 with targets @ 1.035 & 1.0375 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.02 look for further downside with 1.012 & 1.002 as targets.

Comment: the RSI calls for a rebound.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: up turn.
Pivot: 1615.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1615 with 1640 & 1645 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1615 will call for 1600 & 1595.

Comment: the RSI has just broken above a declining trend line.

Thứ Ba, 18 tháng 10, 2011

Thứ Năm, 13 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến luơc Forex Phiên Âu 13/10/2011

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3690.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.369 with 1.383 & 1.3875 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.369 will call for 1.3615 & 1.357.

Comment: the pair stands within a bullish channel and remains on the upside.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish

Next »
GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.5690.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.569 with 1.58 & 1.5855 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.569 will call for a slide towards 1.565 & 1.561.

Comment: the pair is pulling back on its support ahead of further up move.

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USD/JPY intraday: caution.
Pivot: 76.95.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 76.95 with targets @ 77.2 & 77.4.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 76.95 will open the way to 76.75 & 76.5.

Comment: the pair is challenging its new support, caution.

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AUD/USD intraday: limited upside.
Pivot: 1.01

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 1.01 with targets @ 1.026 & 1.0315 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 1.01 look for further downside with 1.002 & 0.9975 as targets.

Comment: the pair is challenging its bullish channel resistance.

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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1655.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1655 with targets @ 1692 & 1715.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1655 will open the way to 1640 & 1630.

Comment: the price remains in a bullish channel.

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Crude Oil (Dec 11) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 84.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 84 with 85.65 & 86.75 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 84 will call for a slide towards 82 & 81.5.

Comment: a support base at 84 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.

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Thứ Tư, 12 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược Phiên Âu 12/10/2011

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3570.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.357 with 1.3665 & 1.3705 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1.357 will open the way to 1.352 & 1.347.

Comment: the pair stands above its new support and remains on the upside.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
Next »
GBP/USD intraday: intraday support around 1.553
Pivot: 1.5530.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1.553 with 1.561 & 1.5665 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.553 will call for 1.55 & 1.5475.

Comment: the RSI is breaking above a declining trend line, the pair should rebound on its support.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 76.90.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 76.85 with 76.5 & 76.3 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 76.9 will call for a rebound towards 77.1 & 77.2.

Comment: the pair remains under pressure and is challenging its support.
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AUD/USD intraday: intraday support around 0.985.
Pivot: 0.985

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.985 with targets @ 1 & 1.005 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.985 look for further downside with 0.978 & 0.9725 as targets.

Comment: the RSI lacks downward momentum.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1650.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1650 with 1685 & 1700 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1650 will call for 1630 & 1600.

Comment: the price remains in a bullish channel.
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Crude Oil (Nov 11) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 84.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 84 with 86.25 & 87.95 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 84 will call for a slide towards 81.5 & 80.

Comment: the price is challenging its bullish channel support.

Thứ Hai, 10 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược giao dịch GOLD-Forex Phiên Âu 11/10/2011

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3570.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.3585 with 1.37 & 1.376 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1.357 will open the way to 1.352 & 1.347.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
Next »
GBP/USD intraday: intraday support around 1.553
Pivot: 1.5530.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.5545 with 1.5675 & 1.5715 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.553 will call for 1.548 & 1.543.

Comment: even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited to the 1.5530 strong support.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 76.90.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 76.85 with targets @ 76.5 & 76.3.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 76.9 will open the way to 77.1 & 77.2.

Comment: the pair remains under pressure and is challenging its support.
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AUD/USD intraday: supported by a rising trend line.
Pivot: 0.988

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.988 with targets @ 1.005 & 1.0075 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.988 look for further downside with 0.9725 & 0.9625 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a bullish trend line.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1655.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1655 with 1700 & 1720 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1655 will call for 1630 & 1600.

Comment: intraday support around 1655
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Crude Oil (Nov 11) intraday: further upside.
Pivot: 84.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 84 with 86.25 & 87.95 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 84 will call for 81.5 & 80.

Comment: the price stands in a bullish channel.

Chủ Nhật, 9 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược giao dịch Forex 10/10/2011

EUR/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.3380.
Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.34 with 1.352 & 1.3565 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.338 will call for a slide towards 1.332 & 1.325.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a rising trend line.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
Next »
GBP/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 1.5530.

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions @ 1.5545 with targets @ 1.5675 & 1.5715.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1.553 will call for 1.5475 & 1.543.

Comment: the break above 1.553 is a positive signal that has opened a path to 1.5675.
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USD/JPY intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 76.95.

Most Likely Scenario: SHORT positions @ 76.9 with 76.6 & 76.5 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 76.95 will open the way to 77.1 & 77.2.

Comment: the pair remains under pressure and is challenging its support.
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AUD/USD intraday: the upside prevails.
Pivot: 0.9725

Most Likely Scenario: Long positions above 0.9725 with targets @ 0.9875 & 0.999 in extension.

Alternative scenario: Below 0.9725 look for further downside with 0.9625 & 0.953 as targets.

Comment: the RSI is supported by a bullish trend line.
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GOLD (Spot) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 1620.00

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 1620 with 1680 & 1700 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 1620 will call for 1600 & 1555.

Comment: supported by a rising trend line.
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Crude Oil (Nov 11) intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 82.50

Most Likely Scenario: LONG positions above 82.5 with 84.55 & 86.25 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 82.5 will call for a slide towards 81 & 79.6.

Comment: the price stands in a bullish channel.

Thứ Tư, 5 tháng 10, 2011

Nhận định xu hướng-Chiến lược GOLD-FOrex 6/9/2011

GOLD‏ (Spot) intraday: further advance.
Our Preference: LONG positions above 1617 with 1680 & 1700 as next targets.
Alternative scenario: The downside breakout of 1617 will open the way to 1595 & 1555.
Comment: the validaton of a double bottom calls for further bounce.
Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bullish
Key levels Comment
1720** Intraday resistance
1700*** Intraday resistance
1680** Intraday resistance
1638 Last
1617** Intraday pivot point
1595** Intraday support
1555** Intraday support 


EUR/USD intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.3385.
Our Preference: SHORT positions @ 1.3375 with targets @ 1.328 & 1.3225.
Alternative scenario: The upside breakout of 1.3385 will open the way to 1.342 & 1.348.
Comment: the pair stands below its resistance and is breaking below a rising trend line.
Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bearish
Key levels Comment

1.348** Intraday resistance
1.342** Intraday resistance
1.3385*** Intraday pivot point
1.3331 Last
1.328*** Intraday support
1.3225*** Intraday support
1.315*** Intraday support